ISSN: 1451-4117
E-ISSN: 1821-31977
Volume 6 number 20, pages: 49 - 58
In this paper authors have presented the forecasting and decision support systems in modern business systems management. The last, fourth, phase of EPPA analyzes, witch is a problem quantification phase that process data collected in previous phases of shown EPPA method. All four components that are going to be quantified by the expert team, are defined in this paper. These components are: problem complexity and priority, as well as its financial and time component.
1. Ayres, R.U. (1969) Technological forecasting and long-range planing. New York, itd: McGraw-Hill
2. Cetron, M. (1969) Technological forecasting. New York: Gordon & Breach
3. Cetron, M., Ralph, F. (1971) Industrial applications of technological forecasting. Wiley
4. Clarke, A.C. (1962) Profiles of the future: An enquiry into the limits of the possible. New York: Harper & Row
5. Curović, D. (2007) Metoda ekspertskog planiranja proizvodnje autobusa - odluka o vremenskoj implementaciji i dinamički plan realizacije. u: Simpozijum IIPP, Beograd
6. Curović, D. (2008) Razvoj modela ekspertskog planiranja proizvodnje autobusa. Beograd: Mašinski fakultet, Doktorska disertacija, mart
7. Kaunitz, C., Ritchey, T., Stenstrom, M. (2002) Using morphological analysis to evaluate and structure, force requirements in military units: Case study airborne capability. u: Conference Proceedings from, ISMOR 9
8.Levi-Jakšić, M., Marinković, S., Obradović, J. (2005) Menadžment inovacija i tehnološkog razvoja. Beograd: Fakultet organizacionih nauka / FON
9.Levi-Jakšić, M.I. (2004) Upravljanje tehnološkim inovacijama. Beograd: Čigoja štampa
10.Makridakis, S., Wheelwright, S.C., Hyndman, R.J. (1978) Forecasting: Methods and applications. New York, itd: Wiley
11. Martino, J.P. (1993) Technological forecasting for decision making. New York: McGraw-Hill
12.Stošić, B., Curović, D., Tica, S. (2005) Metodi predviđanja u upravljanju tehnološkim inovacijama. u: Simpozijum IIPP, Beograd
13.Stošić, B.A. (1999) Inovacije u tehnologiji - teorijski osnovi i metodi podrške. Beograd: Fakultet organizacionih nauka
14. Tica, S., Stošić, B., Curović, D. (2006) Tehnološke inovacije i metode predviđanja. Magazin DOTS, br. 9
15.Twiss, B.C. (1992) Forecasting for technologists and engineers: A practical guide for better decisions. London: Peter Peregrinus Ltd
16. Zwicky, F. (1966) Discovery, invention, research through the morphological approach. Toronto: Macmillan Company